The model estimates 1.25 goals for Aurrerá de Vitoria and 1.90 for Leioa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aurrerá de Vitoria and 6 for Leioa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leioa · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aurrerá de Vitoria is going head to head with Leioa on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 23.
Aurrerá de Vitoria take on Leioa in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Aurrerá de Vitoria are currently placed 2nd in the table with 16 points, while Leioa occupy 1st position with 16 points.
Aurrerá de Vitoria come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leioa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Leioa have 7 wins against Aurrerá de Vitoria.
Prediction: Leioa to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.16. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 62%.


There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aurrerá de Vitoria's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aurrerá de Vitoria have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Aurrerá de Vitoria have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Leioa are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leioa have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leioa's last 6 matches.