The model estimates 2.26 goals for Leioa and 0.67 for Erandio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leioa and 6 for Erandio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leioa · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leioa is going head to head with Erandio on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 26.
Leioa take on Erandio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Leioa are currently placed 1st in the table with 16 points, while Erandio occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Leioa come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Erandio have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Leioa to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.94. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 45%.
Leioa are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leioa have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leioa's last 6 matches.
Erandio have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Erandio have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Erandio's last 6 matches.