The model estimates 1.34 goals for Atalanta and 2.50 for AS Roma. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Atalanta and 6 for AS Roma, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AS Roma · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Atalanta is going head to head with AS Roma on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 20.
Atalanta take on AS Roma in the Serie A on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Atalanta are currently placed 12th in the table with 11 points, while AS Roma occupy 3rd position with 21 points.
Atalanta come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AS Roma have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, AS Roma have 1 win against Atalanta.
Prediction: AS Roma to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.84. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 69%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atalanta have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, AS Roma have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AS Roma's last 6 matches.
AS Roma have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.