The model estimates 1.41 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.64 for PAOK. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Asteras Tripolis and 6 for PAOK, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PAOK · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Asteras Tripolis is going head to head with PAOK on December 19, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Super League Greece — Round 15.
Asteras Tripolis take on PAOK in the Super League Greece on 19 December 2026 at 19:00.
Asteras Tripolis are currently placed 9th in the table with 9 points, while PAOK occupy 5th position with 15 points.
Asteras Tripolis come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas PAOK have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: PAOK to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 62%.




In their last 6 matches, Asteras Tripolis have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Asteras Tripolis have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Asteras Tripolis's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of PAOK's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of PAOK's last 6 matches.
PAOK score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.