The model estimates 0.85 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.79 for Panathinaikos. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Asteras Tripolis and 6 for Panathinaikos, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Panathinaikos · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Asteras Tripolis is going head to head with Panathinaikos on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Super League Greece — Round 16.
Asteras Tripolis take on Panathinaikos in the Super League Greece on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Asteras Tripolis are currently placed 9th in the table with 9 points, while Panathinaikos occupy 2nd position with 18 points.
Asteras Tripolis come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Panathinaikos have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Panathinaikos have 1 win against Asteras Tripolis.
Prediction: Panathinaikos to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.64. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Asteras Tripolis have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Asteras Tripolis have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Asteras Tripolis's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Panathinaikos have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Panathinaikos have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Panathinaikos score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.