The model estimates 1.51 goals for Ascoli and 0.78 for Virtus Entella. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ascoli and 6 for Virtus Entella, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ascoli · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ascoli is going head to head with Virtus Entella on November 28, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 14.
Ascoli take on Virtus Entella in the Serie B on 28 November 2026 at 17:00.
Ascoli are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Virtus Entella occupy 10th position with 12 points.
Ascoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Virtus Entella have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Virtus Entella have 5 wins against Ascoli, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Ascoli to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.30. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 44%.




In their last 6 matches, Ascoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ascoli's last 6 matches.
Ascoli score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Virtus Entella have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Virtus Entella's last 6 matches.
Virtus Entella have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.