The model estimates 2.47 goals for Ascoli and 0.80 for US Arezzo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ascoli and 6 for US Arezzo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ascoli · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ascoli is going head to head with US Arezzo on March 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 28.
Ascoli take on US Arezzo in the Serie B on 2 March 2027 at 00:00.
Ascoli are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while US Arezzo occupy 15th position with 10 points.
Ascoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas US Arezzo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Ascoli have 3 wins against US Arezzo, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Ascoli to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.27. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 51%.




In their last 6 matches, Ascoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ascoli's last 6 matches.
Ascoli score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
US Arezzo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of US Arezzo's last 6 matches.
US Arezzo concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.