The model estimates 1.48 goals for Ascoli and 0.68 for Cremonese. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ascoli and 6 for Cremonese, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ascoli · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ascoli is going head to head with Cremonese on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 31.
Ascoli take on Cremonese in the Serie B on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Ascoli are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Cremonese occupy 17th position with 9 points.
Ascoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cremonese have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Cremonese have 7 wins against Ascoli, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Ascoli to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.16. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 39%.




In their last 6 matches, Ascoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ascoli's last 6 matches.
Ascoli score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Cremonese have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cremonese have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cremonese's last 6 matches.