The model estimates 1.62 goals for Ascoli and 1.29 for Palermo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ascoli and 6 for Palermo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ascoli · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ascoli is going head to head with Palermo on November 07, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 11.
Ascoli take on Palermo in the Serie B on 7 November 2026 at 17:00.
Ascoli are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Palermo occupy 1st position with 23 points.
Ascoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Palermo have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Palermo have 11 wins against Ascoli, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Ascoli to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.91. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, Ascoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ascoli's last 6 matches.
Ascoli score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Palermo are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Palermo have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Palermo's last 6 matches.