The model estimates 2.36 goals for AS Roma and 1.33 for AC Milan. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AS Roma and 6 for AC Milan, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AS Roma · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AS Roma is going head to head with AC Milan on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 19.
AS Roma take on AC Milan in the Serie A on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
AS Roma are currently placed 3rd in the table with 21 points, while AC Milan occupy 5th position with 18 points.
AS Roma come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AC Milan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AS Roma to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.69. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 68%.




In their last 6 matches, AS Roma have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AS Roma's last 6 matches.
AS Roma have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AC Milan have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AC Milan's last 6 matches.
AC Milan score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.