The model estimates 1.92 goals for Arsenal and 0.56 for Sunderland. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arsenal and 6 for Sunderland, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arsenal · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arsenal is going head to head with Sunderland on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 30.
Arsenal take on Sunderland in the Premier League on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Arsenal are currently placed 2nd in the table with 21 points, while Sunderland occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Arsenal come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sunderland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 149 recorded meetings, Arsenal have 62 wins against Sunderland, with 41 draws.
Prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.48. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 38%.




In their last 6 matches, Arsenal have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sunderland have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sunderland have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sunderland's last 6 matches.