The model estimates 0.90 goals for Arouca and 0.63 for Gil Vicente. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arouca and 6 for Gil Vicente, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arouca · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arouca is going head to head with Gil Vicente on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 33.
Arouca take on Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Arouca are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Gil Vicente occupy 8th position with 11 points.
Arouca come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gil Vicente have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Arouca to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.53. Over 2.5: 20%. BTTS: 29%.




In their last 6 matches, Arouca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arouca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arouca score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 4 home matches.
Gil Vicente have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Gil Vicente's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Gil Vicente have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.