The model estimates 0.77 goals for Arenal and 1.98 for Constancia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arenal and 6 for Constancia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Constancia · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arenal is going head to head with Constancia on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 11 — Round 18.
Arenal take on Constancia in the Spain Tercera Division Group 11 on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Arenal are currently placed 16th in the table with 4 points, while Constancia occupy 2nd position with 17 points.
Arenal come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Constancia have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Constancia have 2 wins against Arenal, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Constancia to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 47%.


Arenal have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Arenal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Arenal's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Constancia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Constancia have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Constancia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.