The model estimates 1.91 goals for Alcúdia and 1.28 for Arenal. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alcúdia and 6 for Arenal, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alcúdia · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alcúdia is going head to head with Arenal on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 11 — Round 19.
Alcúdia take on Arenal in the Spain Tercera Division Group 11 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Alcúdia are currently placed 11th in the table with 9 points, while Arenal occupy 16th position with 4 points.
Alcúdia come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arenal have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Alcúdia have 2 wins against Arenal, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alcúdia to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.19. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 63%.




Alcúdia concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Alcúdia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Alcúdia have won only 2 of their last 6 home matches.
Arenal have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Arenal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Arenal's last 6 matches.