The model estimates 1.28 goals for Arda and 0.67 for Lok. Plovdiv. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arda and 6 for Lok. Plovdiv, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arda · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arda is going head to head with Lok. Plovdiv on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 19.
Arda take on Lok. Plovdiv in the Parva Liga on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
Arda are currently placed 6th in the table with 18 points, while Lok. Plovdiv occupy 12th position with 9 points.
Arda come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lok. Plovdiv have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, Lok. Plovdiv have 8 wins against Arda, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Arda to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.95. Over 2.5: 31%. BTTS: 37%.




Arda have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Arda's last 6 matches.
Arda concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Lok. Plovdiv's last 6 matches.
Lok. Plovdiv have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lok. Plovdiv have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.