The model estimates 1.13 goals for Morton and 1.40 for Ayr. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Morton and 6 for Ayr, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ayr · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Morton is going head to head with Ayr on March 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 29.
Morton take on Ayr in the Scottish Championship on 13 March 2027 at 00:00.
Morton are currently placed 9th in the table with 7 points, while Ayr occupy 7th position with 12 points.
Morton come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ayr have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Morton have yet to beat Ayr, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Ayr to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.53. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.




Morton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Morton have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Morton concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Ayr have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ayr's last 6 matches.