The model estimates 2.43 goals for Penafiel and 1.01 for Leiria. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Penafiel and 6 for Leiria, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Penafiel · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Penafiel is going head to head with Leiria on May 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 34.
Penafiel take on Leiria in the Liga Portugal 2 on 16 May 2027 at 00:00.
Penafiel are currently placed 2nd in the table with 16 points, while Leiria occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Penafiel come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leiria have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Penafiel to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.43. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 59%.
PENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIPENLEIIn their last 6 matches, Penafiel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Penafiel have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Penafiel's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leiria have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Leiria's last 6 matches.
Leiria score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
