The model estimates 1.84 goals for Alvechurch and 1.27 for Leiston. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alvechurch and 6 for Leiston, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alvechurch · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alvechurch is going head to head with Leiston on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Southern League Premier Central — Round 34.
Alvechurch take on Leiston in the Southern League Premier Central on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Alvechurch are currently placed 7th in the table with 23 points, while Leiston occupy 14th position with 15 points.
Alvechurch come into this match with 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leiston have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 15 recorded meetings, Leiston have 4 wins against Alvechurch, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Alvechurch to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.11. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 62%.




Alvechurch have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alvechurch have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alvechurch's last 6 matches.
Leiston have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Leiston's last 6 matches.
Leiston have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.