The model estimates 1.64 goals for Alondras and 1.35 for Gran Pena (Esp). These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alondras and 6 for Gran Pena (Esp), before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alondras · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alondras is going head to head with Gran Pena (Esp) on November 22, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division G1 — Round 12.
Alondras take on Gran Pena (Esp) in the Spain Tercera Division G1 on 22 November 2026 at 20:00.
Alondras are currently placed 10th in the table with 11 points, while Gran Pena (Esp) occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Alondras come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gran Pena (Esp) have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Alondras to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.99. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 61%.
ALOGRAALOGRAALOGRAALOGRAALOGRAALOGRAALOGRAALOGRAALOGRAThere have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Alondras's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alondras have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alondras have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Gran Pena (Esp) have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Gran Pena (Esp) have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Gran Pena (Esp)'s last 6 matches.
