The model estimates 1.64 goals for Alfreton and 0.90 for Lancaster. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alfreton and 6 for Lancaster, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfreton · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alfreton is going head to head with Lancaster on December 19, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 24.
Alfreton take on Lancaster in the England Northern Premier on 19 December 2026 at 15:00.
Alfreton are currently placed 11th in the table with 20 points, while Lancaster occupy 12th position with 20 points.
Alfreton come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lancaster have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Alfreton have 3 wins against Lancaster, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alfreton to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.54. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Alfreton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfreton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfreton's last 6 matches.
Lancaster have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lancaster's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lancaster's last 6 matches.