The model estimates 1.94 goals for Alfreton and 0.64 for Ilkeston. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alfreton and 6 for Ilkeston, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfreton · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alfreton is going head to head with Ilkeston on March 29, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 39.
Alfreton take on Ilkeston in the England Northern Premier on 29 March 2027 at 00:00.
Alfreton are currently placed 11th in the table with 20 points, while Ilkeston occupy 22nd position with 10 points.
Alfreton come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ilkeston have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Alfreton to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.59. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 42%.




In their last 6 matches, Alfreton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfreton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfreton's last 6 matches.
Ilkeston have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Ilkeston have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Ilkeston have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.