The model estimates 1.28 goals for Alfreton and 1.37 for Curzon Ashton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alfreton and 6 for Curzon Ashton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Curzon Ashton · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alfreton is going head to head with Curzon Ashton on November 21, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 20.
Alfreton take on Curzon Ashton in the England Northern Premier on 21 November 2026 at 15:00.
Alfreton are currently placed 11th in the table with 20 points, while Curzon Ashton occupy 6th position with 25 points.
Alfreton come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Curzon Ashton have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Curzon Ashton have 9 wins against Alfreton, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Curzon Ashton to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.65. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 55%.
ALFCURALFCURALFCURALFCURALFCURALFCURALFCURALFCURALFCURIn their last 6 matches, Alfreton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfreton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfreton's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Curzon Ashton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Curzon Ashton's last 6 matches.
Curzon Ashton have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
