The model estimates 2.11 goals for Alfaro and 0.96 for Calasancio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alfaro and 6 for Calasancio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfaro · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alfaro is going head to head with Calasancio on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 18.
Alfaro take on Calasancio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Alfaro are currently placed 4th in the table with 16 points, while Calasancio occupy 12th position with 8 points.
Alfaro come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Calasancio have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 19 recorded meetings, Alfaro have 12 wins against Calasancio, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Alfaro to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.06. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 55%.


In their last 6 matches, Alfaro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfaro have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfaro's last 6 home matches.
Calasancio have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Calasancio have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
Calasancio concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.