The model estimates 0.87 goals for Yague and 1.60 for Alfaro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Yague and 6 for Alfaro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfaro · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Yague is going head to head with Alfaro on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 19.
Yague take on Alfaro in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Yague are currently placed 15th in the table with 6 points, while Alfaro occupy 4th position with 16 points.
Yague come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alfaro have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, Alfaro have 10 wins against Yague.
Prediction: Alfaro to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 48%.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Yague's last 6 matches.
Yague have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Yague have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alfaro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfaro have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Alfaro have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.