The model estimates 2.82 goals for Al Nassr and 0.82 for Al Riyadh. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Al Nassr and 6 for Al Riyadh, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Al Nassr · 69%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Al Nassr is going head to head with Al Riyadh on February 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Saudi Professional League — Round 19.
Al Nassr take on Al Riyadh in the Saudi Professional League on 11 February 2027 at 00:00.
Al Nassr are currently placed 2nd in the table with 25 points, while Al Riyadh occupy 11th position with 12 points.
Al Nassr come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al Riyadh have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Al Nassr have 1 win against Al Riyadh.
Prediction: Al Nassr to win with probability 69%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.64. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Al Nassr have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Al Nassr have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Al Nassr's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Al Riyadh have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Al Riyadh have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Al Riyadh's last 6 matches.