The model estimates 1.11 goals for Al Riyadh and 2.94 for Al Ahli SC. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Al Riyadh and 6 for Al Ahli SC, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Al Ahli SC · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Al Riyadh is going head to head with Al Ahli SC on March 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Saudi Professional League — Round 22.
Al Riyadh take on Al Ahli SC in the Saudi Professional League on 11 March 2027 at 00:00.
Al Riyadh are currently placed 11th in the table with 12 points, while Al Ahli SC occupy 5th position with 21 points.
Al Riyadh come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al Ahli SC have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Al Ahli SC have 1 win against Al Riyadh.
Prediction: Al Ahli SC to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.05. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 64%.




In their last 6 matches, Al Riyadh have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Al Riyadh have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Al Riyadh's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Al Ahli SC's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Al Ahli SC have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Al Ahli SC have won 5 of their last 6 matches.