The model estimates 1.16 goals for Agoncillo and 0.94 for Varea. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Agoncillo and 6 for Varea, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Agoncillo · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Agoncillo is going head to head with Varea on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 23.
Agoncillo take on Varea in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Agoncillo are currently placed 10th in the table with 12 points, while Varea occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
Agoncillo come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Varea have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 27 recorded meetings, Varea have 20 wins against Agoncillo, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Agoncillo to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.11. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 44%.
In their last 6 matches, Agoncillo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Agoncillo's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Agoncillo's last 6 matches.
Varea are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Varea have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Varea's last 6 matches.