The model estimates 2.31 goals for Agoncillo and 1.20 for San Marcial. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Agoncillo and 6 for San Marcial, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Agoncillo · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Agoncillo is going head to head with San Marcial on November 15, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 11.
Agoncillo take on San Marcial in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 15 November 2026 at 19:00.
Agoncillo are currently placed 10th in the table with 12 points, while San Marcial occupy 7th position with 15 points.
Agoncillo come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas San Marcial have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, Agoncillo have 5 wins against San Marcial, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Agoncillo to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.51. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 64%.


In their last 6 matches, Agoncillo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Agoncillo's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Agoncillo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, San Marcial have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of San Marcial's last 6 matches.
San Marcial score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.