The model estimates 1.24 goals for Sutton and 2.05 for Southend. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sutton and 6 for Southend, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southend · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sutton is going head to head with Southend on December 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 25.
Sutton take on Southend in the England National League on 28 December 2026 at 18:00.
Sutton are currently placed 15th in the table with 18 points, while Southend occupy 3rd position with 28 points.
Sutton come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southend have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Southend have 2 wins against Sutton, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Southend to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.29. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 63%.




Sutton have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sutton's last 6 matches.
Sutton have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Southend's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Southend's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southend have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.