The model estimates 2.09 goals for Real Avilés and 1.77 for AD Merida. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Real Avilés and 6 for AD Merida, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Avilés · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Real Avilés is going head to head with AD Merida on December 13, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 16.
Real Avilés take on AD Merida in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 13 December 2026 at 19:00.
Real Avilés are currently placed 26th in the table with 11 points, while AD Merida occupy 17th position with 13 points.
Real Avilés come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AD Merida have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, AD Merida have 2 wins against Real Avilés.
Prediction: Real Avilés to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.86. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 74%.




In their last 6 matches, Real Avilés have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Real Avilés have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Real Avilés's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AD Merida have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Merida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
AD Merida score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.