The model estimates 1.29 goals for Abha and 1.31 for Al Riyadh. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Abha and 6 for Al Riyadh, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Abha · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Abha is going head to head with Al Riyadh on November 26, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Saudi Professional League — Round 15.
Abha take on Al Riyadh in the Saudi Professional League on 26 November 2026 at 20:00.
Abha are currently placed 18th in the table with 2 points, while Al Riyadh occupy 11th position with 12 points.
Abha come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al Riyadh have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Abha to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.60. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 55%.




Abha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Abha have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Abha concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Al Riyadh have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Al Riyadh have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Al Riyadh's last 6 matches.