The model estimates 0.97 goals for Al Riyadh and 2.34 for Al-Ittihad. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Al Riyadh and 6 for Al-Ittihad, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Al-Ittihad · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Al Riyadh is going head to head with Al-Ittihad on December 03, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Saudi Professional League — Round 16.
Al Riyadh take on Al-Ittihad in the Saudi Professional League on 3 December 2026 at 20:00.
Al Riyadh are currently placed 11th in the table with 12 points, while Al-Ittihad occupy 4th position with 23 points.
Al Riyadh come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al-Ittihad have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Al-Ittihad to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.31. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 57%.




In their last 6 matches, Al Riyadh have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Al Riyadh have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Al Riyadh's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Al-Ittihad have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Al-Ittihad have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Al-Ittihad's last 6 matches.