The model estimates 1.37 goals for Aarau and 1.96 for Winterthur. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aarau and 6 for Winterthur, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Winterthur · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aarau is going head to head with Winterthur on December 19, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Switzerland Challenge League — Round 18.
Aarau take on Winterthur in the Switzerland Challenge League on 19 December 2026 at 19:00.
Aarau are currently placed 6th in the table with 12 points, while Winterthur occupy 3rd position with 21 points.
Aarau come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Winterthur have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Winterthur have 1 win against Aarau.
Prediction: Winterthur to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.34. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 65%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Aarau's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Aarau's last 6 matches.
Aarau have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Winterthur have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Winterthur's last 6 matches.
Winterthur have won 4 of their last 6 matches.