The model estimates 1.22 goals for Worcester and 1.33 for Bury Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Worcester and 6 for Bury Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bury Town · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Worcester is going head to head with Bury Town on November 21, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Southern League Premier Central — Round 20.
Worcester take on Bury Town in the Southern League Premier Central on 21 November 2026 at 15:00.
Worcester are currently placed 19th in the table with 10 points, while Bury Town occupy 2nd position with 31 points.
Worcester come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bury Town have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Worcester have yet to beat Bury Town, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Bury Town to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 54%.




Worcester have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Worcester concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Worcester's last 6 home matches.
Bury Town have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bury Town's last 6 matches.
Bury Town have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.