The model estimates 1.00 goals for Worcester and 1.49 for Alvechurch. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Worcester and 6 for Alvechurch, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alvechurch · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Worcester is going head to head with Alvechurch on March 26, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Southern League Premier Central — Round 38.
Worcester take on Alvechurch in the Southern League Premier Central on 26 March 2027 at 00:00.
Worcester are currently placed 19th in the table with 10 points, while Alvechurch occupy 7th position with 23 points.
Worcester come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alvechurch have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Alvechurch have 2 wins against Worcester, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Alvechurch to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.49. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 51%.
WORALVWORALVWORALVWORALVWORALVWORALVWORALVWORALVWORALVWorcester have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Worcester concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Worcester's last 6 home matches.
Alvechurch have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alvechurch have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alvechurch's last 6 matches.
