The model estimates 1.30 goals for Vitesse and 1.98 for Heracles. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vitesse and 6 for Heracles, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Heracles · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vitesse is going head to head with Heracles on May 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 38.
Vitesse take on Heracles in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 14 May 2027 at 00:00.
Vitesse are currently placed 9th in the table with 17 points, while Heracles occupy 1st position with 29 points.
Vitesse come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Heracles have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 39 recorded meetings, Vitesse have 19 wins against Heracles, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Heracles to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.28. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 64%.




Vitesse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitesse's last 6 matches.
Vitesse have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Heracles have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Heracles have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Heracles score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.