The model estimates 0.98 goals for Virtus Casarano and 1.12 for Bari. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Virtus Casarano and 6 for Bari, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bari · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Virtus Casarano is going head to head with Bari on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 22.
Virtus Casarano take on Bari in the Italy Serie C on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Virtus Casarano are currently placed 37th in the table with 14 points, while Bari occupy 8th position with 21 points.
Virtus Casarano come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bari have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Bari have 1 win against Virtus Casarano.
Prediction: Virtus Casarano and Bari to draw with probability 33%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.10. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 44%.
VIRBARVIRBARVIRBARVIRBARVIRBARVIRBARVIRBARVIRBARVIRBARVirtus Casarano have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Virtus Casarano's last 6 matches.
Virtus Casarano concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bari have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Bari's last 6 matches.
Bari have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
