The model estimates 1.05 goals for Virton and 1.50 for Dender. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Virton and 6 for Dender, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Virton · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Virton is going head to head with Dender on November 28, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Belgium Challenger Pro League — Round 12.
Virton take on Dender in the Belgium Challenger Pro League on 28 November 2026 at 22:00.
Virton are currently placed 7th in the table with 10 points, while Dender occupy 2nd position with 18 points.
Virton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dender have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Dender have 7 wins against Virton, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Dender to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 52%.




Virton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Virton score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Virton concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Dender are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dender have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Dender have won 6 of their last 6 matches.