The model estimates 0.98 goals for Vinhais and 2.21 for Ponte da Barca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vinhais and 6 for Ponte da Barca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ponte da Barca · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vinhais is going head to head with Ponte da Barca on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 20.
Vinhais take on Ponte da Barca in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Vinhais are currently placed 55th in the table with 0 points, while Ponte da Barca occupy 47th position with 4 points.
Vinhais come into this match with 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ponte da Barca have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ponte da Barca to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.19. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 57%.




Vinhais have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Vinhais have lost 6 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Vinhais's last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.