The model estimates 0.78 goals for Vila Mea and 1.17 for CDC Montalegre. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vila Mea and 6 for CDC Montalegre, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CDC Montalegre · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vila Mea is going head to head with CDC Montalegre on December 06, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 10.
Vila Mea take on CDC Montalegre in the Campeonato de Portugal on 6 December 2026 at 18:00.
Vila Mea are currently placed 22nd in the table with 8 points, while CDC Montalegre occupy 20th position with 8 points.
Vila Mea come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CDC Montalegre have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: CDC Montalegre to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 1.95. Over 2.5: 31%. BTTS: 39%.




In their last 6 matches, Vila Mea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Vila Mea have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vila Mea's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, CDC Montalegre have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
CDC Montalegre have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of CDC Montalegre's last 6 matches.