The model estimates 3.42 goals for Venlo and 1.51 for Helmond. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Venlo and 6 for Helmond, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Venlo · 67%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Venlo is going head to head with Helmond on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 36.
Venlo take on Helmond in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Venlo are currently placed 2nd in the table with 25 points, while Helmond occupy 19th position with 9 points.
Venlo come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Helmond have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Helmond have 1 win against Venlo.
Prediction: Venlo to win with probability 67%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.93. Over 2.5: 87%. BTTS: 76%.




In their last 6 matches, Venlo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Venlo's last 6 matches.
Venlo have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Helmond have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Helmond have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Helmond's last 6 matches.