The model estimates 1.46 goals for Vasco and 0.89 for Vitoria Guimaraes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vasco and 6 for Vitoria Guimaraes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Vasco · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vasco is going head to head with Vitoria Guimaraes on December 02, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 38.
Vasco take on Vitoria Guimaraes in the Serie A Betano on 2 December 2026 at 21:00.
Vasco are currently placed 11th in the table with 16 points, while Vitoria Guimaraes occupy 14th position with 15 points.
Vasco come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vitoria Guimaraes have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 51 recorded meetings, Vitoria Guimaraes have 22 wins against Vasco, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Vasco to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, Vasco have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Vasco have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Vasco score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Vitoria Guimaraes have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.