The model estimates 1.46 goals for Varea and 0.88 for Berceo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Varea and 6 for Berceo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Varea · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Varea is going head to head with Berceo on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 33.
Varea take on Berceo in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Varea are currently placed 3rd in the table with 16 points, while Berceo occupy 6th position with 15 points.
Varea come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Berceo have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, Varea have 20 wins against Berceo, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Varea to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.34. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 47%.
Varea are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Varea have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Varea's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Berceo's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Berceo's last 6 matches.
Berceo score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
