The model estimates 1.18 goals for USM Alger and 0.69 for Oran. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for USM Alger and 6 for Oran, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
USM Alger is going head to head with Oran on October 24, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 9.
USM Alger take on Oran in the Ligue 1 on 24 October 2026 at 15:00.
USM Alger are currently placed 3rd in the table with 10 points, while Oran occupy 1st position with 13 points.
USM Alger come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Oran have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: USM Alger to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.88. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 36%.




In their last 6 matches, USM Alger have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
USM Alger have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of USM Alger's last 6 matches.
Oran are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Oran have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Oran's last 6 matches.