The model estimates 0.95 goals for US Arezzo and 1.94 for Virtus Entella. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for US Arezzo and 6 for Virtus Entella, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Virtus Entella · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
US Arezzo is going head to head with Virtus Entella on May 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 38.
US Arezzo take on Virtus Entella in the Serie B on 14 May 2027 at 00:00.
US Arezzo are currently placed 15th in the table with 10 points, while Virtus Entella occupy 10th position with 12 points.
US Arezzo come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Virtus Entella have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Virtus Entella have 2 wins against US Arezzo, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Virtus Entella to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 54%.




US Arezzo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of US Arezzo's last 6 matches.
US Arezzo concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Virtus Entella have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Virtus Entella's last 6 matches.
Virtus Entella have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.