The model estimates 0.98 goals for US Arezzo and 1.93 for Mantova. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for US Arezzo and 6 for Mantova, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mantova · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
US Arezzo is going head to head with Mantova on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 34.
US Arezzo take on Mantova in the Serie B on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
US Arezzo are currently placed 15th in the table with 10 points, while Mantova occupy 4th position with 17 points.
US Arezzo come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mantova have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Mantova to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.91. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 55%.




US Arezzo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of US Arezzo's last 6 matches.
US Arezzo concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mantova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Mantova's last 6 matches.
Mantova are on a run of 4 consecutive undefeated away matches.