The model estimates 1.28 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 0.99 for Changwon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ulsan Citizen and 6 for Changwon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ulsan Citizen · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ulsan Citizen is going head to head with Changwon on November 01, 2026 at 08:00. This match is part of K3 League — Round 25.
Ulsan Citizen take on Changwon in the K3 League on 1 November 2026 at 08:00.
Ulsan Citizen are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Changwon occupy 13th position with 5 points.
Ulsan Citizen come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Changwon have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Changwon have 8 wins against Ulsan Citizen.
Prediction: Ulsan Citizen to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.27. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 47%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Ulsan Citizen's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ulsan Citizen's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Ulsan Citizen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Changwon have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Changwon have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Changwon's last 6 matches.