The model estimates 1.23 goals for UE Tona and 0.82 for Vilassar de Mar. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UE Tona and 6 for Vilassar de Mar, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: UE Tona · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UE Tona is going head to head with Vilassar de Mar on November 15, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 5 — Round 11.
UE Tona take on Vilassar de Mar in the Spain Tercera Division Group 5 on 15 November 2026 at 20:00.
UE Tona are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Vilassar de Mar occupy 16th position with 8 points.
UE Tona come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vilassar de Mar have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, UE Tona have 3 wins against Vilassar de Mar, with 3 draws.
Prediction: UE Tona to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.05. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 41%.
VILVILVILVILVILVILVILVILVILUE Tona have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
UE Tona have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Vilassar de Mar have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Vilassar de Mar's last 6 matches.
Vilassar de Mar have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
