The model estimates 0.99 goals for UD Ourense and 1.36 for Pontevedra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UD Ourense and 6 for Pontevedra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pontevedra · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UD Ourense is going head to head with Pontevedra on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 32.
UD Ourense take on Pontevedra in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
UD Ourense are currently placed 39th in the table with 5 points, while Pontevedra occupy 14th position with 14 points.
UD Ourense come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pontevedra have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, UD Ourense have yet to beat Pontevedra, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Pontevedra to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 48%.




UD Ourense have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Ourense's last 6 matches.
UD Ourense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pontevedra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Pontevedra have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Pontevedra's last 6 matches.