The model estimates 1.44 goals for UD Aretxabaleta and 0.67 for Santurtzi. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UD Aretxabaleta and 6 for Santurtzi, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: UD Aretxabaleta · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UD Aretxabaleta is going head to head with Santurtzi on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 34.
UD Aretxabaleta take on Santurtzi in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
UD Aretxabaleta are currently placed 7th in the table with 14 points, while Santurtzi occupy 14th position with 9 points.
UD Aretxabaleta come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Santurtzi have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, UD Aretxabaleta have 1 win against Santurtzi, with 4 draws.
Prediction: UD Aretxabaleta to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.12. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 39%.
UD UD UD UD UD UD UD UD UD In their last 6 matches, UD Aretxabaleta have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
UD Aretxabaleta score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Aretxabaleta's last 6 home matches.
Santurtzi have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Santurtzi have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Santurtzi's last 6 matches.
